We are moving the race from toss-up to lean republican. If a significant primary challenge comes up against Senator Brown from the tea party we might move the race back to toss-up.
For the time being, considering Brown’s war chest, his latest polling against all viable democrat challengers, and his approval numbers, he looks like he’s now in good shape to win. The only stumbling block will be if a more conservative challenger comes forth, a challenger that most likely would lose in deep blue Massachussettes.
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